Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.830966 0.962185 1.104277 1.269186 1.454902 1.657165 1.893692
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.656439 0.842472 1.061662 1.337163 1.672210 2.064374 2.555859
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.530105 0.743630 1.013973 1.377090 1.847188 2.429909 3.200788
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.457131 0.692124 1.008345 1.457167 2.068609 2.862179 3.957732
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.376775 0.613224 0.950089 1.453105 2.170744 3.141117 4.532025
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.311651 0.542969 0.890514 1.434201 2.242883 3.377056 5.057457
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.262126 0.486909 0.841780 1.421152 2.316065 3.612891 5.591449
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.230614 0.454040 0.822823 1.448165 2.446578 3.934999 6.263832
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.202640 0.422130 0.800249 1.464907 2.559573 4.235094 6.918347
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.177754 0.391331 0.774857 1.472683 2.656361 4.513631 7.553233
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.160725 0.372350 0.767072 1.508035 2.798516 4.868489 8.321744
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.142822 0.348514 0.747159 1.519192 2.899411 5.161803 9.007364
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.120030 0.311004 0.697717 1.473541 2.901785 5.299947 9.461425
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.110146 0.299836 0.697931 1.519649 3.068227 5.718577 10.393232
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.100076 0.286414 0.691795 1.552621 3.212883 6.108153 11.296700
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.095578 0.285433 0.711180 1.636934 3.457034 6.680480 12.533063
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.084218 0.265280 0.686897 1.630814 3.530678 6.959164 13.283058
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.073269 0.243900 0.656893 1.609340 3.572251 7.181741 13.945012
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.064239 0.225746 0.631615 1.594712 3.624849 7.425065 14.652048
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.058898 0.216939 0.627137 1.624462 3.767260 7.838936 15.678892
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.053500 0.206819 0.618089 1.642915 3.887430 8.216747 16.656415
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.048199 0.195825 0.605344 1.651487 3.987212 8.560331 17.585457
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.044802 0.190232 0.605752 1.690499 4.153180 9.037488 18.779080